iFQ-Conference 2008

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Foresight - between science and fiction

3rd annual iFQ conference 2008 on 11./12. December
at "caesar" – center of advanced european studies and research, Ludwig-Erhard-Allee 2, 53175 Bonn, Germany

pdf Thursday, 11.12.2008
10:30 Opening
Stefan Hornbostel, iFQ - Institute for Research Information and Quality Assurance
 
  I. Science fiction and science
11:00 Utopian stories and visions in science
Thomas Macho, Humboldt-Universität of Berlin
11:30 Science fiction as a provider of guiding images for innovation
– historical examples, experiences from innovation processes – a critical perspective of a futurist

Karlheinz Steinmüller, Z_punkt The Foresight Company
12:00 Discussion
12:30 Lunch
II. Science in foresight: recent trends and prognosis
13:30 Technological forecasing and implications for planning
Uwe Wiemken, Fraunhofer Institute for Technological Trend Analysis INT
14:00 Studying knowledge dynamics for forsight an approach and some examples
Peter van den Besselaar, Science System Assessment, Rathenau Instituut & Universiteit van Amsterdam
14:30 Discussion
14:50 Foresight in research on civil security
Sylvie Rijkers-Defrasne, VDI Technologiezentrum GmbH
15:20 Many foresee more than one: A collaborative approach to in silico science
Christine Chichester, KNEWCO
15:50 Discussion
16:10 Coffee break
   
  III. International trends in science policy and foresight strategies (part 1)
16:40 Setting European research agendas: European foresight strategies in context
Rüdiger Klein, ESF - European Science Foundation
17:10 Technology foresight in the German context: emerging technological and scientific fields in Germany
Otto Bode, Federal Ministry of Education and Research, BMBF
17:40 Discussion
18:30 Champagne reception and dinner speech
  Places & Spaces: Mapping Science: Introduction into the exhibition
Katy Börner, Indiana University
   
  Friday, 12.12.2008
  III. International trends in sience policy and foresight strategies (part 2)
9:30 Science and technology foresight in Japan
Kerstin Cuhls, Fraunhofer Systems and Innovation Research , ISI
10:00 Foresight in Latin America: Experiences in six countries
Yuli Villarroel, Universidad Nacional Experimental Simón Rodríguez
10:30 Discussion
11:30 Coffee break
   
  IV. Theory and methods
11:20 Foresight methodology - overview
Rafael Popper, University Manchester
11:50 The expert-delphie: Methodology and approach of technology foresight and monitoring
Oliver Pfirrmann, Prognos AG
12:20 The scope of bibliometric approaches in foresight studies
.Anthony F.J. van Raan,  Centre for Science and Technology Studies (CWTS), Leiden University
12:50 Discussion
13:20 Lunch
 
  V. Foresight and reality: How valid are findings?
14:20 Evaluation of the BMBF foresight process
Melanie Kramp, Institute for technology and employment
14:50 “Der Studentenberg”: Prognosis and reality
Dieter Dohmen, Institute for Education and Socio-Economic Research and Consulting, FiBS
15:20 Discussion
15:40 Concluding remarks
Kalle Hauss and Saskia Heise, iFQ  - Institute for Research Information and Quality Assurance
   
Contact: Kalle Hauss, Saskia Heise
Tel.: +49 (0)228/97273-16/14
Fax: +49 (0)228/97273-49